Flip or hold? Exploring Miami’s options with Shawn Marion

October 05 08

NBA news mixed with analysis …

Their News: “An NBA GM said the Heat are still interested in trading forward Shawn Marion for "a great piece that could improve their team," since they are probably not interested in giving him a lucrative long-term contract. For the time being, you can forget talk of Miami dealing Marion for Chicago’s Ben Gordon and Andres Nocioni. Gordon signed a one-year, $6.4 million qualifying offer with Chicago last week that will make him ineligible to be traded until Jan. 2, and he has a no-trade clause.” (Boston Globe)

Our Quick Analysis: Flipping is a popular business practice. It’s simple. You acquire an asset for cheap. Then sell the asset for more than you paid.

Miami is still trying to flip Shawn Marion. They have been since acquiring him last winter in a trade with Phoenix for the under-performing Shaquille O’Neal.

Unfortunately, the Heat killed the trade market for Marion. Miami wouldn’t give Marion, a free agent in July 2009, a big-money extension, so why would another team? And Miami never committed to building around Marion, so why would another team give up significant talent in a trade?

Talk about warning signs. Top suit Pat Riley won’t get anything close to equal value in a trade.

The oil-slick should now let Marion play out the 2008-09 season. They’ll get 17 million dollars in cap relief and have just 49 million dollars in committed salary for 2009-10. Miami could then pursue next summer’s free agents. South Beach is enticing. Superstar Dwyane Wade wants to re-sign. And the club would have money to burn.

The top available talent would listen. Carlos Boozer, if he opts-out early, would consider any offer from the Heat. Ditto for Ron Artest, Allen Iverson, Jason Kidd, and Rasheed Wallace.

So instead of receiving a hodgepodge of assets in an awkward mid-season trade, the club picks Wade’s future co-star(s) in free agency. They don’t take on Ben Gordon or Andres Nocioni.

Flipping is always an option. But Miami should let Marion’s deal expire and make their play next off-season.

Flip or wait? What would you do with Marion? Get at us in the comment box below and return to HoopsVibe The Blog for more NBA tidbits. Photo courtesy of remolacha.net fotos.

6 Comments: Flip or hold? Exploring Miami’s options with Shawn Marion

Posted by
Franchise
on 10.5.2008

I would want to be marion... to the no name poster that outlined phoenix’s love for marion, u gotta realise that an all star caliber player like marion hates the sound of his name in trade talks at the beginning of EVERY season. It was pretty clear that the suns did not have him high on the pecking order to begin with. I;d rather be marion he;s due 17 million AND will prob get 12 million with the next team he plays with? thats a great life to me man or woman whoever you are "no name poster". .

Posted by
Feelin tha Heat
on 10.5.2008

He’ll be traded at the deadline. He’ll just have to play out the $17 mil he’s makin this year .

Posted by

on 10.5.2008

Ideal sit for Marion was back in Phoenix. The organization loved him, the system was once geared for him; he had a PG who fed him the ball; and the city loved him. But he decided to whine and would rather be #2 on a crappy team, instead of #3 on a great team. He got what he deserved. See ya wouldn’t wanna be ya Marion .

Posted by

on 10.5.2008

Shawn has his agent, Dan Fegan, to thank for this. If he weren’t so anal Shawn would have an extension by now, either with Phoenix or Miami but nooo. Now he’s stuck in pergatory for a whole season. Must suck. .

Posted by
O.Sandor
on 10.5.2008

Hi no-name poster. You are right. With the exception of Boozer, they are old. So they could sign ,for example, Kidd to a one-year deal, let his contract come off the books in the summer of 2010 and chase, say, you know who from Cleveland?Wade and James have joked about running together. Or there are guys in summer of 2010 who would be impressive. Point being, there are better ways to spend cap room then maxing out Marion. Still, you are absolutely right, other than Boozer, those guys are old. Thanks for the comment. Thanks for reading. .

Posted by

on 10.5.2008

Those free agents, with the exception of Boozer, off the Heat little value though. They need a PG and C to compliment Wade and Beasley. Those guys don’t fill the void at all and most are too old. They need to look for Players aged 24-28 so they can have a good five year run or more. Not this 2-3 year and rebuild process. Albeit they did win a title that’s not likely to come together that easy again. .

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	About Oly Sandor
Daily take on NBA Oly Sandor is an NBA analyst and sports journalist based out of Vancouver, Canada.After years of the free-lance game, Oly Sandor is bringing his unique brand of NBA analysis exclusively to (...) More

Flip or hold? Exploring Miami’s options with Shawn Marion

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